Friday, 15 December 2017

Politics at Friday lunch: Lessons from Grenfell are yet to be learned

"I would never be able to say it won't happen again, I just hope and pray it never does" - Dany Cotton
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'Lessons must be learned'. It's a phrase that's trotted out every time something awful happens. Sometimes things really do change. Sometimes very little does.

In the case of the Grenfell fire, it seems possible that we could see some change in the rules on fire safety and building regulations. This week the commissioner of the London Fire Brigade, Dany Cotton said she was "staggered" that more buildings are not fitted with sprinkler systems, warning that she couldn't be sure another tragedy like Grenfell wouldn't happen again. 

The lack of sprinkler systems is something that is relatively easily fixed. Yes, it will cost money but it is the sort of thing you can imagine the government agreeing to do in response to Grenfell. What's much harder to fix is the attitudes towards social housing tenants that exists within local authorities and the chronic lack of housing available to those in need.

It was these issues that Jeremy Corbyn decided to focus on during PMQs this week. 

"When is this government going to get out of pockets of property speculators and rogue landlords and get on the side of tenants and people without a home of their own this Christmas?" he asked.

May replied by saying that 346,000 new affordable homes had been built since 2010. Note the use of the term 'affordable housing'. Affordable housing is not social housing. When politicians talk about affordable housing they are usually referring to properties that are sold or rented at 80% of the local market rate. For those in most desperate need of housing this does little to help. Politicians know this. They know that the 128,000 children and their families that will be homeless this Christmas don't need a so-called 'affordable home' which is slightly less expensive than the average local property. They need proper social housing. 

Earlier this week, Politics.co.uk ran an article which featured an interview with a council housing officer in London. It revealed the institutional contempt that local authority staff often have for the very people they are supposed to help. The officer spoke of colleagues being "absolutely obsessed" with finding a reason to reject a housing application on the grounds that the person had made themselves intentionally homelessness. This included one woman who had moved out of her home because she lived close to a man who had raped her and another who was escaping an abusive relationship. 

Yesterday marked six months since the Grenfell fire that destroyed so many lives. Survivors and their supporters took to the streets in a silent march to mark the anniversary. They marched to remember the dead. They marched to demand justice. With four out of five families still waiting for a home, it's little wonder that some struggle to believe they will ever get it.

It's vital that all these people are provided with permanent decent housing, that this still hasn't happened is a national disgrace, but it is also vital that attitudes towards all social housing tenants and those in need of housing changes. Until that happens it's hard to believe that lessons have truly been learned.

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Friday, 8 December 2017

Politics at Friday lunch: The deal is done but is it enough to save May?

"Getting to this point has required give and take on both sides" - Theresa May
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"Sufficient progress has been reached". It was the words Theresa May has been desperate to hear. She can breathe a sigh of relief, her deal is done. 

One cabinet member after another took to Twitter this morning to congratulate her but will the agreement on phase one of the talks be enough to keep the Brexiteers of her party happy? Hardline Leavers from outside the Conservatives were certainly quick to express their displeasure.

"A deal in Brussels is good news for Mrs May as we can now move on to the next stage of humiliation," Nigel Farage posted on social media this morning.

On the Victoria Derbyshire show a little later he claimed that we'd "collapsed on every level".

The group Leave.EU went a step further and accused May of being a 'traitor'. In a statement their co-founder Arron Banks wrote:

"If anyone in the Conservative party has any integrity or sense of duty left, we call on them now to save Brexit by triggering a leadership contest."

Hysterical? Yes. But as the likes of Jacob Rees-Mogg have been very quiet on the deal this morning, May could still have reason to worry. After all, she has made major concessions. This is not the 'no deal is better than a bad deal' attitude we were hearing from her earlier in the year.

A German journalist tweeted earlier today:

"Where did the EU cave in to UK demands in #Brexit negotiations? 'We didn't insist on them paying the mover bill for EU agencies leaving London', says chief negotiator #Barnier."

And this is what hardline Leavers will hate. They've been telling the country for months that we hold all the cards. Whenever questions about trade come up, they repeat the line that the EU 'needs us more than we need them'. That mantra is now being put to the test and the results are not looking good for those who want us to walk away from negotiations if we don't get what we want.

Even if May manages to placate her Brexiteer backbenchers for now, there is clearly still a long way to go. Today's deal moved us on to the next phase but it did little to resolve many of the sticking points that have stalled things over the last few weeks. The can has simply been kicked down the road. 

The prime minister may have scraped through this stage of the negotiations but she hasn't done so unscathed. The struggle she faces to keep all sides of her party, let alone all parts of the United Kingdom, happy has been played out in excruciating detail this week.

The Conservatives may rally round her for now, but it's increasingly hard to see how she will survive in the long term.

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Friday, 1 December 2017

Politics at Friday lunch: George Osborne's journey from Scrooge to Santa

"I can tell the House that the policies in this Budget, taken together, will not increase measured child poverty"  - George Osborne
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"George Osborne's child poverty pledge fails to consider cuts in benefits," the Evening Standard headline said in 2010, after the then-chancellor's first Budget. 

At the time, Yvette Cooper as shadow work and pensions secretary said: "There is no way they can introduce such changes without pushing more children into poverty. It is outrageous to claim otherwise." Over 50 social policy professionals agreed with her. They told the government that welfare reforms would push a further 200,000 children into poverty. Osborne ploughed on regardless.

Now, the former chancellor has a new life. He is the editor of the Evening Standard. The paper that just launched a Christmas appeal to help London's hungry children. 

It is an extraordinary act of hypocrisy. While at the Treasury, Osborne took the conscious decision to balance the books on the backs of the poor. He looked at the most deprived people in society and decided they should pay for the financial crisis. 

During the Cameron and Osborne years, disabled people saw their money and support slashed, single mums saw their benefits cut, homeless charities saw the numbers of rough sleepers soar, food banks became a common sight, and vulnerable children ultimately suffered.   They were warned of the consequences of these policies and they did them anyway. As for balancing the books, the Office for Budget Responsibility doesn't expect that to happen until 2031.

A recent report by the Child Poverty Action Group (CPAG) found that government policies since 2010 have created an "austerity generation" of children whose life chances will be scarred by years of cuts.

There is no sign of things getting better any time soon. Today, I received an email from my child's school to say that the local food bank has seen a number of parents in tears over the last couple of weeks at the prospect of not being able to buy their child a Christmas present. This is in one of the richest countries in the world. Charities shouldn't have to send out letters asking for donations to prevent children waking up on the 25th December and believing that they haven't been good enough for Santa to come. Newspaper's shouldn't have to campaign to feed hungry children. And they most certainly should refrain from doing so when their editor was the author of the policies which made it necessary in the first place.

As CPAG director Imran Hussain pointed out, the Evening Standard's campaign fails to mention the impact many of Osborne's own policies have had on those same children they are asking for donations to help feed. A Christmas campaign may help some of them for a few months, but the consequences of Osborne's cuts will plague them for years to come. He is the author of the problem he now claims to want to solve.

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