Friday 23 March 2018

Fish and passports - another week lost to madness 

"Many men go fishing all of their lives without knowing that it is not fish they are after" - Henry David Thoreau
View this email in your browser

After a while you start to tune out, just so you can preserve a few brain cells. We lost an entire day of the news agenda to a man throwing dead fish off a boat. Another day went to a decision on where passports are made, which itself followed a seemingly interminable debate about their colour.

It quite often feels like the country has entered a senile phase. There is effectively nothing going on in parliament. There is no real policy agenda in health, or education, or national security, or business, or industry, outside of Brexit, which itself is a vacuum. Instead we have these colourful bits of theatre in place of politics. It's like being fed a plate of crisps for dinner.

But even here it is worth scratching the surface of the debate, because underneath it you find a web of lies, lobbying and basic trade reality. The gears of an economy and commercial law keep on turning, even if we try to cover them up with clown masks.

The fish debacle is a case in point. Fishing for Leave is supposedly outraged that Britain has not taken back control of its fish stocks during transition and wanted to highlight this by throwing dead fish overboard. This is a reference to the waste of fish under the EU quota system.

It's true the EU used to have a problem with managing fish stocks, which led to many fishermen discarding their catches to stay on the right side of the quota. Now those rules are about to change with strict new enforcement protocols on discards. But that requires a complex surveillance system and many fishing groups are desperate to avoid it.

It's for this reason that campaigners want out before the new rules come into force. They want the ability to discard fish, not the freedom to avoid doing so.

The entire European system of fish quotas is designed to prevent overfishing. If we were to just mark out territorial waters and let each country fish as much as it likes, there would be no coordination and no sensible allocation of resources. That's why the quota system, which assesses fish stocks and then parcels them out to countries according to a pre-designed system, exists. The British may not have got a great deal on this, but to present an exit from the system as an act of rebellion against waste is deeply cynical.

There is a similar mixture of ignorance and cynicism in the passport debate. British firm De La Rue lost the contract to make post-Brexit passports, which went instead to Gemalto, a Franco-German company. The UK company's chief executive asked why "the British government thinks it's a sensible decision to… offshore the manufacture of a British icon". He has considerable cheek, given he provides services to two-thirds of the world's countries. Apparently breast-beating nationalism is not good enough for them but an absolute requirement when it comes to us.

The Daily Mail berated the government in the most unhinged terms imaginable, saying ministers hated "our country, its history, culture and the people's sense of identity". Tory MP Priti Patel called it "a disgraceful decision", "perverse" and a "national humiliation".

Tim Stanley, a leader writer at the Telegraph, said correctly that the decision was taken under EU rules, incorrectly that it is an "example of why we're leaving", falsely that post-Brexit Britain "will be free to prioritise UK business", and quite madly that this constituted "the joy of Brexit".

Nearly all these commentators are wrong in nearly every way it is possible to be wrong on such a tedious issue. Firstly, it is possible to produce your own passports, as the French government does. Procurement rules do not force you to outsource things, they simply say what the rules are when you do.

Under EU procurement rules tenders should be based on price, quality and other factors. This seems a sensible basis to make decisions, rather than because a company happens to be based here. If the British firm's bid was of a higher quality and a lower price, it would have won. It was not, so it lost.

This provides a handy reminder of what happens when you allow nationalism to dominate economic debates. Firms which are guaranteed to secure contracts by virtue of their nationality rather than their service are liable to start offering a substandard product.

But even when we leave the EU, these rules will still be around. As the FT legal blogger David Allen Green pointed out, they'll almost certainly figure in the trade deal we do with the EU, alongside state aid and competition provisions, because they are seen as a core part of how the single market operates. They are also there at the WTO. And they are likely to figure in the trade deals we do with other states, like the US.

The passport issue was a jolt of rage, from Brexiters who loved the quick and compelling win of a new passport, and now had to see it made all murky and laughable by the fact they were going to be produced in France. But it also revealed something meaningful and worrying about the future.

Brexit was secured by uniting globalist free market types with nativist reactionaries. The passports issue highlights how divided they are and how impossible it is to fit the emotional needs of the latter into the political programme of the former. For the time being they remain, just about, aligned - all holding out for the same end goal. But those bonds are becoming frayed and they will inevitably end up going to war with one another sooner or later.

That is not simply because of their temperament, but because the whole political project is based on mutually incompatible demands.


 

Latest Articles

 
 

This is what the EU immigration app will look like


 

On Mar 22, 2018 12:19 pm
Early reports are that the government has created a sensible system for transferring EU migrants to 'settled status' - but huge dangers remain.
Read more... »
 

Those post-Brexit tariff cuts will only reduce costs by 1.2%


 

On Mar 20, 2018 07:39 am
The one positive about Brexit adds up to small change.
Read more... »
 

Brexit transition: The can is kicked further down the road


 

On Mar 19, 2018 01:48 pm
Today bought some more time, but the pressure continues to ratchet up. Ireland is the chaos waiting to happen.
Read more... »
 

 
 

DWP wins legal case to block future benefit appeals  


 

On Mar 20, 2018 12:58 pm
Government wins legal case which could have major implications for people fighting the DWP.
Read more... »
 


 
 

Grayling's fantasy Brexit plan would make trade deals impossible


 

On Mar 23, 2018 08:45 am
The transport minister's bizarre notion of eradicating British borders would throw the country's future into greater chaos.
Read more... »
 

Iraq 15 years on: The birthplace of post-truth


 

On Mar 20, 2018 09:06 am
The lies that were told in the lead up to the invasion paved the way for Trump and Brexit.
Read more... »
 

No British patriot should trade with Putin


 

On Mar 19, 2018 09:36 am
It's time for UK businesses to get real: all Russian firms of any size operate on terms set by the regime.
Read more... »
 

We defeated the govt over child refugees - now they should back down


 

On Mar 19, 2018 08:39 am
It's our moral duty to keep child refugees safe. Time for govt to stop fighting and start listening.
Read more... »
 

Opinion Former videos


 

Rural communities denied affordable housing as developers exploit loophole

 

On Mar 05, 2018 11:35 am
This animation, from the CPRE, highlights that England hasn't built enough genuinely affordable homes in rural or urban areas for decades. Following cuts to capital grant and financial restrictions on councils, we now rely on private developers to deliver a large share of new affordable homes through the Section 106 system. But since 2012, national planning rules have blunted this tool by enabling the widespread use and abuse of viability assessments.
Read more... »

Why antibiotics are becoming less effective – the One Health approach

 

On Jan 26, 2018 09:57 am
Bacteria, viruses, parasites and fungi are evolving to outsmart the drugs used to kill them.
Read more... »
 

Opinion Formers press releases


 
 

NASUWT demands immediate implementation of HM Treasury decision to equalise adult survivor benefits in public service pension schemes


The NASUWT- the Teachers' Union has written to the Secretary of State for Education to demand that there is immediate implementation for teachers of the decision relayed to the NASUWT by HM Treasury to equalise adult survivor benefits in public service pension schemes for same-sex married and civil partners.
Read more... »
 

Europe's digital tax may be toned down but unilateral move a worry, says CIOT


"It is not clear that a turnover-based tax, particularly at rates as high as three per cent, would be fully and effectively creditable against profits based taxes."
Read more... »
 

 

 

Facebook
Facebook
Twitter
Twitter
Website
Website
Copyright © 2018 Senate Media Ltd, All rights reserved.
You are receiving this email because you opted in at www.politics.co.uk

Our mailing address is:
Senate Media Ltd
18 Vine Hill
London, EC1R 5DZ
United Kingdom

Add us to your address book


unsubscribe from this list    update subscription preferences 

Friday 16 March 2018

Week in Review: Nerve agent attack sees Corbyn fall down the rabbit hole 

"Russia is a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma" - Winston Churchill
View this email in your browser

The week wasn't really defined by the Russian nerve agent attack. It was defined by the British response. The spotlight we'd expect to shine outward turned inwards and, in a way that's become depressingly common, we didn't like what we found.

Strip it down to its bare bones and you've got a relatively simple situation here. The evidence overwhelmingly points to Russian state involvement. They have the motivation, they have the ability and they have the track record. No-one else does. But it is not proven yet and in all likelihood, because of the nature of the operation, never will be. So there is enough doubt for conspiracy theories to blossom and nervy politicians to be frozen by inaction.

At other times, the obvious story would have defeated the imaginative ones. But we are not living in normal times. We are living through a substantial breakdown of trust in government and media. So instead of presenting a united front, British politics fell into recrimination and division.

Jeremy Corbyn made several errors in his response to Theresa May's statement on the Salisbury attacks, some of judgement, others of tone. But the key element was his eagerness to find an alternate explanation for the incident.

His statements were confused and contradictory, probably due to a growing sense of crisis as his back and front benchers rebelled against him. On Thursday afternoon he agreed "all the evidence points towards" Russia, but by Friday morning he had written an article in the Guardian claiming "a connection to Russian mafia-like groups that have been allowed to gain a toehold in Britain cannot be excluded".

He is right, it cannot be excluded. But there seems little reason to think it is the case. The nature of the nerve agent makes it highly unlikely.

Novichok, the 'N-series' of nerve agents, was secretly developed in Russia in the 1970s. Most of the information we know about it comes from Russian chemist Vil Mirzayayanov, who exposed the programme in 1991. It acts by flooding the gaps between nerve cells with acetylcholine.

It's really powerful stuff. A drop of VX, from the V-series, can kill a healthy adult. But the later N-series is much stronger than that, especially in the form of the most potent members - Novichok-5 and 7.

That's why they are binary agents, made from two safe precursor chemicals which are then mixed together just before use, probably at a pesticide or fertiliser manufacturing plant. This allows an agent to transport the chemicals safely and only create the lethal mixture when absolutely necessary.

Why on earth would a Russian mafia want to do this, rather than just shoot someone? What possible criminal group would have the means of achieving this? And why?

The involvement of the Russian state answers both those questions. They have the ability. In fact, they are the only people who know how to produce the agent.

They have the motivation, which is to send two messages. The first is to Russian double-agents that they can track them down. The second is to the international community, and Britain in particular, that they can act indiscriminately in the sovereign territory of other states, while still being considered respectable enough to host major international sporting tournaments like the World Cup.

They have also exhibited the pattern of behaviour to make this scenario credible, not least in the murder of Alexander Litvinenko using a radioactive isotope in 2006. As Nato secretary-general Jens Stoltenberg told the BBC:

"We have no reason to doubt the findings and the assessments made by the British government, not least because this takes place against a backdrop of a pattern of reckless behaviour by Russia over many years. The illegal annexation of Crimea, the continued destabilisation of eastern Ukraine, cyber-attacks and meddling in national elections, and many other activities. This is one element of many."

To compare this case with the security dossiers on Iraq, as Corbyn's spokesman Seamus Milne did, is absurd. This is a specific incident, in a small location, on British soil, which can be tested domestically by world-class analysts. It is not the same as the inane reports compiled by a desperate administration to create an excuse for war on the military capacity of a state they had not visited.

But in one sense Milne is right. At the heart of this is Iraq and the body-blow it dealt to the country's trust in itself. Iraq was the first domino. It broke trust in government. The financial crisis broke trust in the economy. The expenses scandal broke trust in MPs. Phone-hacking broke trust in the press. The Jimmy Savile outrage broke trust in the BBC.

One by one, the institutions broke down.

Since the Brexit vote, many people claim that economic arguments are not considered important by the public. In fact, polling suggests they remain highly pertinent. What changed is that the public did not believe those making economic warnings. The trust was gone.

Something similar is happening here. Most will be willing to go with the account given by No.10 and the overwhelming majority of experts. But for many others, there is enough uncertainty to create a different narrative. One of 'false flag' incidents, which are so popular on the internet among the deranged and the terminally ironic. Or one where the government is accused of carrying out the operation to distract from its other errors. Or one where you can argue that - who knows? - maybe the mafia did it. 

This is the age of distrust. It goes from the bottom of the internet sewer to the office of the leader of the opposition. It makes firm, concerted action and national solidarity almost impossible.

 

 
 

Confirmed: Torture survivors still imprisoned in immigration detention centres


 

On Mar 16, 2018 09:13 am
Home Office breaks its own guidelines to further traumatise survivors as 'hostile environment' agenda continues.
Read more... »
 

The one small change which could improve life for thousands of refugees


 

On Mar 15, 2018 07:58 am
Crucial bill could see children allowed to bring over support network instead of living alone.
Read more... »
 

A new age of trade unionism holds the key to increasing productivity


 

On Mar 15, 2018 07:48 am
Workers' rights aren't a barrier to performance, they're an enabler of it
Read more... »
 

The knife crime epidemic is a result of austerity


 

On Mar 14, 2018 07:18 am
Fifteen people stabbed to death in London since the start of the year, in a grim new benchmark for violence.
Read more... »
 

This is why we're taking David Davis to court for a Brexit referendum lock


 

On Mar 13, 2018 08:11 am
Our legal case will force the government to stick to its 2011 promise to let the people decide on a transfer of power to Brussels
Read more... »
 

Intellectual property: Total lack of govt interest leaves firms isolated and adrift


 

On Mar 13, 2018 07:51 am
A Brexit-shaped hole in patent law has left one of the most innovative parts of the economy without direction or leadership.
Read more... »
 

Austerity cuts force special needs children into isolation


 

On Mar 12, 2018 10:15 am
For years, the effects of cuts on special needs children have been ignored. But now parents are fighting back.
Read more... »
 

Scottish Labour: Party torn down the middle on single market


 

On Mar 12, 2018 09:12 am
Richard Leonard's first conference as Scottish Labour leader goes off well, but deep internal divisions remain, especially over Brexit
Read more... »
 

Opinion Former videos


 

Rural communities denied affordable housing as developers exploit loophole

 

On Mar 05, 2018 11:35 am
This animation, from the CPRE, highlights that England hasn't built enough genuinely affordable homes in rural or urban areas for decades. Following cuts to capital grant and financial restrictions on councils, we now rely on private developers to deliver a large share of new affordable homes through the Section 106 system. But since 2012, national planning rules have blunted this tool by enabling the widespread use and abuse of viability assessments.
Read more... »

Why antibiotics are becoming less effective – the One Health approach

 

On Jan 26, 2018 09:57 am
Bacteria, viruses, parasites and fungi are evolving to outsmart the drugs used to kill them.
Read more... »
 

 

Opinion Formers press releases


 
 

New leadership at National Energy Action and Warm Zones CIC


It's a new era for NEA and its not-for-profit subsidiary Warm Zones cic, as they welcome both a new Chief Executive and new Managing Director.
Read more... »
 

Lindisfarne National Nature Reserve end of season 'plastic pick'


Wildfowlers, BASC Young Shots and college students teamed up to gather plastic waste from along the foreshore of a Northern England beauty spot.
Read more... »
 

 

 

Facebook
Facebook
Twitter
Twitter
Website
Website
Copyright © 2018 Senate Media Ltd, All rights reserved.
You are receiving this email because you opted in at www.politics.co.uk

Our mailing address is:
Senate Media Ltd
18 Vine Hill
London, EC1R 5DZ
United Kingdom

Add us to your address book


unsubscribe from this list    update subscription preferences